Will a major AI lab announce that the weights of one of its models were compromised in a cyberattack before 2027?
IAOne-OffTecnología3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 74.7%
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Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado30 sept 23, 1:41 UTC1 ene 27, 7:59 UTC
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Resolves YES if there is a disclosure by one of {Meta AI, OpenAI, Google DeepMind, Anthropic} that it suffered a cyberattack (which took place after market creation) and believes that the weights of at least one of its proprietary models were stolen.
- Update 2026-08-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market resolves YES if an AI exfiltrates its own weights, as this counts as a cyberattack.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a major AI lab announce that the weights of one of its models were compromised in a cyberattack before 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 75% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will a major AI lab announce that the weights of one of its models were compromised in a cyberattack before 2027??
- Está previsto que Will a major AI lab announce that the weights of one of its models were compromised in a cyberattack before 2027? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will a major AI lab announce that the weights of one of its models were compromised in a cyberattack before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if there is a disclosure by one of {Meta AI, OpenAI, Google DeepMind, Anthropic} that it suffered a cyberattack (which took place after market creation) and believes that the weights of at least one of its proprietary models were stolen.