Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 65.8%
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 minutos
20 jul 26, 14:12 UTC31 dic 34, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
IF the US re-enters the Iran deal by 2025 end THEN will Iran develop nuclear weapons by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran develop a nuclear bomb by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Saudi Arabia obtain nuclear weapon(s) by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill any terrorist group detonate a nuclear weapon before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Japan or South Korea develop a domestic nuclear deterrent before 2050?
Manifold MarketsNew nuclear weapon tests in 2026?
FutuurReglas
Resolves Yes if a consensus of credible media sources confirm Iran has a nuclear weapon and/or tests or uses a nuclear weapon.
