Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 88.7%
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado4 may 23, 7:34 UTC1 may 43, 13:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
What will occur during the reign of King Charles III? 🤴🇬🇧👑
Manifold MarketsWill the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?
PolymarketWill America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsWhich country will the U.S. declare war on next?
Manifold MarketsCharles III still King of England through the end of 2026?
FutuurBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketReglas
In the UK the declaration of war is one of the royal prerogatives but of course in practice it's complicated.
- This resolves YES if during Charles III's reign the UK declares war on some country under authorization from Charles and with his Consent (even if the authorization is presented by someone else on his behalf).
- Market will be extended as necessary.
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-5.0pt21%
- October 31-6.5pt14%
- September 30-4.7pt6%
+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 11,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 529,5 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt79.2%
- New People (NL)-0.6pt16.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.1pt3%
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+4.0pt68%
- October 31+9.0pt46%
- September 30+3.0pt24%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETIran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- October 31+7.5pt58%
- September 30+9.5pt44%
- September 21+14.0pt36%
+6 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volumen total
- 56,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 192,9 mil €
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+6.0pt93%
- September 18+4.0pt88%
- September 7+11.5pt87%
+2 resultados más
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Charles III declare war during his reign ??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 89% a fecha de 12 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Charles III declare war during his reign ??
- Está previsto que Will Charles III declare war during his reign ? se resuelva el 1 de mayo de 2043.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Charles III declare war during his reign ??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: In the UK the declaration of war is one of the royal prerogatives but of course in practice it's complicated.