Will Argentina start another war over the Falklands before April 2027?
GeopolíticaOne-OffLatin America6mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 94.1%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
26 abr 26, 16:03 UTC31 mar 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any time before April 26, 2027, the government of Argentina initiates, declares, or engages in an armed military conflict against the United Kingdom with the explicit objective of taking control of the Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas).
- An "armed military conflict" implies official military engagement between the armed forces of both nations.
- This market resolves to NO if no such conflict occurs before the specified date.
- The primary sources for resolution will be official announcements from the governments of the United Kingdom and Argentina, as well as reporting from reputable international news outlets (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, BBC).
- If the event occurs, the market will resolve based on confirmation from these sources.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Argentina start another war over the Falklands before April 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 94% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Argentina start another war over the Falklands before April 2027??
- Está previsto que Will Argentina start another war over the Falklands before April 2027? se resuelva el 31 de marzo de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Argentina start another war over the Falklands before April 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria