Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027?
Latin AmericaOne-Off1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 95.7%
Pronosticadores
27
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
24 ene 24, 18:29 UTC1 ene 28, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the US recognise Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US recognize Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands?
KalshiUK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?
PolymarketWill Argentina start another war over the Falklands before April 2027?
Manifold MarketsBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketTrump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
PolymarketReglas
Milei's new administration has reiterated his desire to regain the Falklands as Argentine possessions (spanish announcement here).
- Given he's outright ruled out the use of force (as he correctly observed that didn't go well last time), he's announced he intends to explore "all diplomatic channels."
- This market resolves YES if the Falklands have returned to Argentine possession by the close date, or if an official agreement has been ratified between Britain and Argentina about transferring sovereignty of the islands to Argentina on some fixed timeline.
- This remains a YES even if there are some caveats to that sovereignty, so long as the international community recognizes the islands as being Argentine territory.
- I reserve the right to adjudicate edge cases of this sort by my own sole opinion.
- It resolves NO if the Falklands remain a British possession at market close, or if some other country has taken them over.
Mercados abiertos
Latin AmericaPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.8pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 125,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 635,9 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro-3.0pt84.3%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+4.8pt13.7%
- Renan Santos-0.5pt1%
+15 resultados más
POLYMARKETTrump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- December 31-2.0pt9%
- September 30-1.0pt5%
- Volumen total
- 86 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 56,5 mil €
KALSHIBrazil Presidential election winner?
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt51.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.0pt42.9%
- Jair Bolsonaro2.9%
+11 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 3,4 M €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro86.5%
- Delcy Rodríguez-3.0pt11.5%
- María Corina Machado+0.1pt1%
+13 resultados más
POLYMARKETParaná Governor Election Winner
- Sergio Moro+2.5pt86%
- Sandro Alex-2.5pt14%
- Requião Filho-0.4pt0%
+6 resultados más
- New Mexico St. vs Hawai'i
- Mercyhurst vs New Mexico
- Ceará Senate Election: 1st Place
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
- Piauí Governor Election Winner
- Tucuman vs River Plate
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
- Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
- Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 9?
- Lima Mayoral Election Winner
- Argentina Presidential Election Winner
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 96% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027??
- Está previsto que Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Milei's new administration has reiterated his desire to regain the Falklands as Argentine possessions (spanish announcement here).