Will Apple source memory chips from a Chinese supplier before 2028?
GeopolíticaOne-OffTecnologíaChina1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 68.1%
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 22 horas
Desactualizado27 jun 26, 6:47 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if, before January 1, 2028, Apple officially announces, or credible financial/tech news organizations report, that Apple has contracted for, purchased, or begun commercially sourcing memory chips from a supplier headquartered in mainland China for use in commercially distributed Apple products.
- “Sourcing” means procuring chips intended for commercial mass production.
- Chips used solely for engineering validation, design validation, internal testing, prototypes, or other non-public products do not count.
- Memory chips include DRAM, NAND flash, HBM, or other semiconductor memory.
- Eligible suppliers include, but are not limited to, ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) and Yangtze Memory Technologies Corporation (YMTC).
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Apple source memory chips from a Chinese supplier before 2028??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 68% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Apple source memory chips from a Chinese supplier before 2028??
- Está previsto que Will Apple source memory chips from a Chinese supplier before 2028? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Apple source memory chips from a Chinese supplier before 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria