Will any non-USA country ease Russian oil sanctions or price caps?
GeopolíticaQuarterlyOriente MedioRusia / UcraniaEuropaMaterias primas2m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 75.7%
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado13 mar 26, 14:58 UTC1 ene 27, 14:49 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Treasury ease Russia sanctions beyond diesel (crude oil, gasoline or jet fuel) before Election Day, Nov 3 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?
PolymarketUS Govt Sanctions Keir Starmer chief of staff?
Manifold MarketsWill the Graham Act sanctions take effect in 2026?
KalshiWill the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
Manifold MarketsWill the EU apply its blocking statute to U.S. sanctions on the ICC?
KalshiReglas
The market resolves YES if, in response to the Iran war's effect on markets, any non-USA country eases, suspends, or removes any current sanctions on Russian crude oil or petroleum products, or changes the price cap on Russian oil products.
- Resolves as soon as there's naval stability in the strait of Ormuz (if it happens before 2027).
- Countries currently implementing sanctions/price caps on Russian oil: - The European Union - The United Kingdom - Canada - Japan - Australia - New Zeeland - Norway - Iceland - Switzerland
- I will not trade on this market