Will any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026?
Middle EastOne-OffRussia / UkraineChinaLatin America3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 72.9%
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11
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado26 nov 23, 20:32 UTC31 dic 26, 22:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
147 countries are currently party to the 1967 Protocol that extended the Geneva convention signed in 1951 (see the UNHCR website).
- Will any country leave the protocol by Dec 31, 2026?
- This market resolves YES if a party that was previously a party to the protocol decides to leave it.
- If a country splits in two and one country decides not to join within two years after being recognized by the UN, it will count as YES, otherwise, it will not be taken into account.
- If two countries regroup where one was a party of the protocol and the other was not, it will count as YES if the newly form country decides not to be party to the convention.
- The current list is:
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 73% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026??
- Está previsto que Will any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: 147 countries are currently party to the 1967 Protocol that extended the Geneva convention signed in 1951 (see the UNHCR website).