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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Commodities
  3. Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

1.0% (24h)CommoditiesYearlyGeopolíticaMacro & Economy6m
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 31%+1.0%
Calidad del mercado

28 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

0,1 €

Liquidez

44 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

31.0% / 35.0%

Spread

12.9%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 2 minutos

28 abr 26, 15:001 ene 27, 4:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes31%

PolymarketTambién disponible en Polymarket

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

0.5%6m
Sí
Sí
+0.0%26%
No
No
74%
60 • Calidad mediaSpread moderadoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total91,4 mil €
Volumen 24h91 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Reglas

If any member state of OPEC announces they are leaving the organization before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
  • Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
  • Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
  • The following do NOT qualify:
  • Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments

Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.

Mercados Relacionados

OPEC dissolves in 2026?

OPEC dissolves in 2026?

0 €
Sí: 8%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How high will US gas prices get in 2026?

How high will US gas prices get in 2026?

136,4 €
Above $6.00: 14%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Vanadium in VRFBs reach 20% of global vanadium consumption by 2030?

66,7 €
Sí: 35%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 2.8 million tonnes?

58 €
Sí: 35%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
How high will gas prices in California get this year?

How high will gas prices in California get this year?

21,6 €
Above $7.20: 15%KalshiKALSHI

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,632.64+2.54%EthereumETH$1,651.33+2.14%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.78%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+2.01%HyperliquidHYPE$54.74-0.74%XRPXRP$1.12+0.55%

Noticias Relacionadas

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Reglas

If any member state of OPEC announces they are leaving the organization before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
  • Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
  • Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
  • The following do NOT qualify:
  • Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments