KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualSí 14%
Calidad del mercado
44 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
12 €
Liquidez
5,6 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
14.0% / 16.0%
Spread
14.3%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
28 abr 26, 15:001 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Yes14%
Comparar plataformas· No
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h
También disponible en Futuur
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
5m
73%
27%
28 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total1,3 €
Volumen 24h0 €
FUTUUR
También disponible en Polymarket
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
1.5%5m
-0.0%89%
+0.0%12%
44 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez media
Volumen total139,1 mil €
Volumen 24h32,4 €
POLYMARKETReglas
If any member state of OPEC announces they are leaving the organization before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
- The following do NOT qualify:
- Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$142 jul21d de datos26 jul
Mercados Relacionados
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
4,4 €Sí: 7%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Annual Return: DXY vs. Gold
140,7 €U.S. Dollar Index: 60%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 2.8 million tonnes?
58,9 €Sí: 35%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?
0,3 €Above $1000: 26%KALSHI
KALSHI
How low will gas prices in California get this year?
0 €Below $4.10: 15%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?
427 €JPMorgan Chase: 5%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsPolymarket: Iran regime-fall odds dip to 9.5% despite escalation reportBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Hormuz traffic 'Yes' sinks to 1.15% after Trump strike threatBlockchain.News
US inflation falls to 3.5% as Bitcoin rebounds toward $65KCrypto NewsReglas
If any member state of OPEC announces they are leaving the organization before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
- The following do NOT qualify:
- Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments