KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 76%
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
3,7 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
24.0% / 28.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
28 abr 26, 15:00 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Venezuela exit OPEC?
KalshiOPEC dissolves in 2026?
PolymarketWill any country leave NATO by which date?
PolymarketWill a country leave BRICS in 2026?
PolymarketWill any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a country leave NATO this year?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If any member state of OPEC announces they are leaving the organization before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:The Washington PostDeutsche WelleFinancial TimesFrance 24 EnglishThe GuardianNBC NewsThe Times of IndiaFox NewsCBS NewsABC NewsThe Wall Street JournalNHK World-JapanCNNThe New York TimesBBC NewsThe Globe and MailAl Jazeera Englishthe Associated PressReutersThe South China Morning PostPoliticoChannel NewsAsiaBloomberg News
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
- The following do NOT qualify:
- Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
3 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para Referencia CoinRithm es del 26%. Las cotizaciones difieren en unos 2 puntos porcentuales entre las plataformas más alejadas.
Referencia CoinRithm 26% · 3 plataformas · 2 pt de dispersion entre venues
Mercados abiertos
CommoditiesKALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 17, 2026?
- Above $95.99+8.0pt99%
- Above $96.49+33.0pt99%
- Above $94.99+11.0pt99%
+27 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 441,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 377,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $100+42.5pt100%
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
+30 resultados más
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.4600+15.0pt99%
- Above 4.3800+4.0pt99%
- Above 4.4000+19.0pt99%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIGold 15 min · $4,364.81 target
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Volumen total
- 161 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 102,1 mil €
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.445099%
- Above 4.455099%
- Above 4.410099%
+24 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 100,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 100,7 mil €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027+7.0pt22%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+5.0pt21%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-5.0pt19%
+7 resultados más
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 18, 2026?
- Brent crude oil price on September 17, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Michigan gas prices tomorrow
- Gold price on September 17, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Diesel prices this week
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- Florida gas prices tomorrow
- Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will another country leave OPEC in 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 76% a fecha de 17 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will another country leave OPEC in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will another country leave OPEC in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If any member state of OPEC announces they are leaving the organization before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Will another country leave OPEC in 2026??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Futuur, Limitless, Polymarket.