FutuurComprobar disponibilidadDatos de resolución verificadosProbabilidad implícita actual
No 85%
No 85%Calidad del mercado
34 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
1,3 mil €
Baja liquidezTraders
5
Comentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
PolymarketWill any additional country announce that it is leaving OPEC in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill a country leave NATO this year?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This event predicts whether any member country will formally announce its withdrawal from the OPEC or OPEC+ alliance by December 31, 2026 (inclusive), after the United Arab Emirates’ exit from this group.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements or statements by the withdrawing country or by OPEC confirming a member’s departure.
- If any country officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC or OPEC+ during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Temporary non-compliance with production quotas, disputes, or informal statements will not count as a departure.
- If official announcements are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international energy news organizations.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
4 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia entre plataformas de CoinRithm para Referencia CoinRithm es del 6%. La dispersión entre plataformas es de unos 9 puntos porcentuales.
Referencia CoinRithm 6% · 4 plataformas · 9 pt de dispersion entre venues
