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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Commodities
  3. Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

CommoditiesOne-OffGeopolítica6m
PolymarketPolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 26%
Calidad del mercado

60 / 100

Calidad media
Volumen 24h

47,6 €

Liquidez

11,3 mil €

Liquidez media
Compra / Venta

25.0% / 26.0%

Spread

4.0%

Spread moderado
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 5 minutos

28 abr 26, 17:2031 dic 26, 0:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes26%

KalshiTambién disponible en Kalshi

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

1.0%6m
Sí
Sí
+1.0%31%
No
No
69%
28 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total117 €
Volumen 24h0 €
KalshiKALSHI

Reglas

On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC.

Polymarket
  • You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
  • Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.

Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.

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Will any additional country announce that it is leaving OPEC in 2026?

Will any additional country announce that it is leaving OPEC in 2026?

0 €
Sí: 99%PredictItPREDICTIT
Manifold Markets

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Nothing: 81%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,601.64+1.73%EthereumETH$1,652.38+1.39%SolanaSOL$65.07+0.84%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+1.00%BNBBNB$595.43+1.28%XRPXRP$1.12-0.33%

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Reglas

On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC.

Polymarket
  • You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
  • Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.