PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 74.3%-1.0pt
Calidad del mercado
65 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
165,4 €
Liquidez
3,9 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
25.0% / 26.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
3
Cambio 7d
-10.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
28 abr 26, 17:15 UTC31 dic 26, 19:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
PolymarketWill any country leave NATO by which date?
PolymarketWill a country leave BRICS in 2026?
PolymarketWill any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a country leave NATO this year?
Manifold MarketsWill any country leave NATO in 2026?
FutuurReglas
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC.
- You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
- Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
3 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para Referencia CoinRithm es del 26%. Las cotizaciones difieren en unos 2 puntos porcentuales entre las plataformas más alejadas.
Referencia CoinRithm 26% · 3 plataformas · 2 pt de dispersion entre venues
Mercados abiertos
Commodities
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 17, 2026?
- Above $95.99+8.0pt99%
- Above $96.49+33.0pt99%
- Above $94.99+11.0pt99%
+27 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 441,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 377,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $100+42.5pt100%
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
+30 resultados más
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.4600+15.0pt99%
- Above 4.3800+4.0pt99%
- Above 4.4000+19.0pt99%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIGold 15 min · $4,364.81 target
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Volumen total
- 161 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 102,1 mil €
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.445099%
- Above 4.455099%
- Above 4.410099%
+24 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 100,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 100,7 mil €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027+7.0pt22%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+5.0pt21%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-5.0pt19%
+7 resultados más
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 18, 2026?
- Brent crude oil price on September 17, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Michigan gas prices tomorrow
- Gold price on September 17, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Diesel prices this week
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- Florida gas prices tomorrow
- Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will another country leave OPEC in 2026??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 74% a fecha de 17 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will another country leave OPEC in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will another country leave OPEC in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Will another country leave OPEC in 2026??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Futuur, Limitless, Kalshi.