Will Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 2.8 million tonnes?
ChinaMaterias primasYearlyNegocios y empresasMacro y economía2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 52.9%
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Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado4 may 26, 17:53 UTC31 may 29, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market resolves YES if Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 (January 1 – December 31, 2028) exceeds 2.8 million tonnes.
- Settlement is May 31, 2029 — the close pushes ~5 months past year-end so the producer's full-year financial report and December 2028 monthly print are well-published before resolution.
- Emirates Global Aluminium. 2024 actual 2.69 Mt; modest UAE growth.
- The 2.8 Mt strike for 2028 reflects continued UAE-base growth; the Century-EGA Inola JV first metal targeted late 2028 contributes only a partial year.
- EGA's consolidation footprint of Inola is partial (50/50 JV).
- Resolution sources (priority order):
