Will Norsk Hydro's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 2.0 million tonnes?
FedMaterias primasOne-OffNegocios y empresasMacro y economíaChina2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 74.4%
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Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado4 may 26, 17:53 UTC31 may 29, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
This market resolves YES if Norsk Hydro's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 (January 1 – December 31, 2028) exceeds 2.0 million tonnes.
- Settlement is May 31, 2029 — the close pushes ~5 months past year-end so the producer's full-year financial report and December 2028 monthly print are well-published before resolution.
- Norsk Hydro. ~2 Mt/yr capacity, mostly hydropower-fed; 2024 near capacity.
- The 2.0 Mt strike for 2028 reflects continued run-rate without new investment.
- Material deviation requires either Slovalco restart or capacity additions.
- Resolution sources (priority order):
