¿Morirán de hambre más de 5.000 gazatíes como resultado del conflicto actual?
GeopolíticaOne-OffMiddle East3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 92.4%
Pronosticadores
129
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado19 mar 24, 14:07 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
Resolves Yes if at any point before market close a major international body such as the United Nations or the World Food Program asserts that 5,000 or more Gazans have starved to death for reasons directly caused by the current phase of the Israel/Hamas conflict that escalated on October 7th, 2023.
- For a bigger range:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Panfilo/how-many-gazans-will-starve-to-deat)Update 2025-10-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the ceasefire extends past a month and the current conflict appears to have ended, the market will be closed to trading but will not resolve immediately.
- Resolution will be delayed until malnutrition death totals have been updated to the standards of sources like CNN and Wikipedia.
- Update 2025-10-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has divested from this market and will remain neutral regarding when to stop counting deaths if the situation becomes ambiguous.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de ¿Morirán de hambre más de 5.000 gazatíes como resultado del conflicto actual??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 92% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve ¿Morirán de hambre más de 5.000 gazatíes como resultado del conflicto actual??
- Está previsto que ¿Morirán de hambre más de 5.000 gazatíes como resultado del conflicto actual? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida ¿Morirán de hambre más de 5.000 gazatíes como resultado del conflicto actual??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves Yes if at any point before market close a major international body such as the United Nations or the World Food Program asserts that 5,000 or more Gazans have starved to death for reasons directly caused by the current phase of the Israel/Hamas conflict that escalated on October 7th, 2023.