¿Morirán de hambre más de 5.000 gazatíes como resultado del conflicto actual?
GeopolíticaOne-OffOriente Medio1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 85%
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129
Tipo de pregunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
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Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado19 mar 24, 14:07 UTC1 ene 28, 4:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
Resolves Yes if at any point before market close a major international body such as the United Nations or the World Food Program asserts that 5,000 or more Gazans have starved to death for reasons directly caused by the current phase of the Israel/Hamas conflict that escalated on October 7th, 2023.
- For a bigger range:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Panfilo/how-many-gazans-will-starve-to-deat)Update 2025-10-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the ceasefire extends past a month and the current conflict appears to have ended, the market will be closed to trading but will not resolve immediately.
- Resolution will be delayed until malnutrition death totals have been updated to the standards of sources like CNN and Wikipedia.
- Update 2025-10-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has divested from this market and will remain neutral regarding when to stop counting deaths if the situation becomes ambiguous.