Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
(5) CRIMINAL POSSESSION OF A WEAPON IN THE SECOND DEGREE (possession of loaded firearm outside of home/place of business) 76%Líder entre 11 opciones
(5) CRIMINAL POSSESSION OF A WEAPON IN THE SECOND DEGREE (possession of loaded firearm outside of home/place of business) 76%Pronosticadores
37
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado18 dic 24, 23:49 UTC1 ene 27, 6:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Each answer will resolve independently based on the verdict in Mangione's criminal trial:
- YES if Mangione is found guilty of that specific count, or pleas guilty to that count
- NO if Mangione is found not guilty of that specific count, or if the count is dismissed/dropped before or during trial, or if Mangione dies before a verdict is delivered for that count.
- You can read the indictment for these charges here:
- https://manhattanda.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Mangione-Indictment-FINAL-as-filed.pdf
- If Mangione is charged with additional New York crimes related to the assassination before the full resolution of this market, I will add them.
