Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 96.8%
Pronosticadores
36
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado10 dic 24, 19:58 UTC18 dic 26, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketWill Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027?
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PolymarketReglas
Update 2024-20-12 (PST): - Market will resolve either way (N/A or YES/NO) if Luigi Mangione is found not guilty (AI summary of creator comment)
- Update 2024-20-12 (PST): - If Luigi Mangione is found not guilty and is alive when sentencing would have occurred, market resolves YES (AI summary of creator comment)
Mercados abiertos
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Volumen total
- 347,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 27,4 mil €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Volumen total
- 497,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 12,5 mil €
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Volumen total
- 676 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 8,2 mil €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volumen total
- 9,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 4,6 mil €
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Volumen total
- 577,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 3,7 mil €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Luigi Mangione live until he is sentenced??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 97% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Luigi Mangione live until he is sentenced??
- Está previsto que Will Luigi Mangione live until he is sentenced? se resuelva el 18 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Luigi Mangione live until he is sentenced??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Update 2024-20-12 (PST): - Market will resolve either way (N/A or YES/NO) if Luigi Mangione is found not guilty (AI summary of creator comment)