Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 91.8%
Pronosticadores
199
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado18 ene 25, 2:16 UTC1 ene 27, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which counts will Luigi Mangione be convicted on?
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Manifold MarketsLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketReglas
Same resolution criteria as: https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/will-luigi-mangione-be-convicted-of
- Except, one year later.
- This market will resolve YES if:
- Luigi Mangione is convicted of murder (any degree) in connection with Brian Thompson's death by a court of law before January 1st, 2027.
- Luigi Mangione pleads guilty to murder charges in connection with Brian Thompson's death before January 1st, 2027.
- The market will resolve NO if:
Mercados abiertos
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POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
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- Volumen total
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- Volumen 24h
- 12,5 mil €
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
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- December 31+1.5pt28%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 92% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027??
- Está previsto que Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Same resolution criteria as: https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/will-luigi-mangione-be-convicted-of