PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 97%+1.4pt
Calidad del mercado
73 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,7 mil €
Liquidez
6,6 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
3.0% / 3.1%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoComments
7
Cambio 7d
-1.4 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
29 ene 26, 21:0631 dic 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luigi Mangione is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If Mangione is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
- If Mangione is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
- If Mangione participates in a successful jailbreak or is otherwise liberated from state custody for any length of time, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Transporting Mangione to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 97% a fecha de 22 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027??
- Está previsto que Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luigi Mangione is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
