Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?
5.5 pts (24h)América LatinaOne-OffCrimen y justicia5m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
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Libro recibido (no hora de cotización del mercado): —
Referencia guardada
Sí 57%
Sí 57%Calidad del mercado
43 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
250,7 €
Liquidez
2 mil €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
— / —
SíSpread
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Comentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
7 oct 26, 23:34 UTC1 abr 27, 3:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
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- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Profundidad de mercado · Sí
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PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jair Messias Bolsonaro is lawfully released from all custodial measures in Brazilian criminal proceedings between market creation and March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Custodial measures include imprisonment, preventive or pretrial detention, house arrest in any form, closed, semi-open, or open prison regimes, and any other measure in a Brazilian criminal proceeding requiring confinement in a prison, residence, or other designated place, except for the residence or curfew conditions permitted below.
- The release must be legally authorized and actually implemented by the deadline, ending all custodial measures.
- For house arrest, this means the measure has ceased to apply and he is no longer held under it or any other custodial measure.
- What qualifies: - Release through sentence extinction, annulment, or completion; a pardon, commutation, or amnesty; or a judicial decision, including habeas corpus, provisional release, or suspension of sentence execution.