Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?
5.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffElecciónAmérica LatinaCrimen y justicia5m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Sí 83.2%+5.0pt
Sí 83.2%+5.0ptCalidad del mercado
59 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
273,6 €
Liquidez
10,7 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
81.0% / 86.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
6 oct 26, 16:09 UTC1 abr 27, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsWhen will Jair Bolsonaro receive his passport back?
Manifold MarketsPedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jair Messias Bolsonaro receives a pardon (indulto or graça), commutation, or reprieve granted by the President of Brazil between market creation and March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying grant of clemency means an act signed by the President of Brazil, or by whoever is lawfully exercising the office, that pardons, commutes, reduces, or suspends the execution of a sentence that had already been imposed on Jair Bolsonaro in a Brazilian criminal proceeding at the time the act was signed, and that has been published in the Diário Oficial da União between market creation and the deadline.
- Both signature and publication must occur within this period.
- A reprieve means a temporary suspension of the execution of an imposed sentence through presidential clemency.
- Full or partial relief from a custodial sentence or criminal fine will qualify; actual release from custody is not required.
