FutuurComprobar disponibilidadDatos de resolución verificadosProbabilidad implícita actual
No 91%
No 91%Calidad del mercado
33 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
972,7 €
Baja liquidezTraders
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Actualizado hace 1 minuto
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Jair Bolsonaro leave prison by the end of January 2027?
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PolymarketOn 12 October 2027, will Jair Bolsonaro be out of prison or other state custody?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This event predicts whether any son of former Brazilian president Jair Bolsonaro (Carlos, Eduardo, Flávio, or Renan Bolsonaro) will be arrested at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, an “arrest” means physical detention by law enforcement authorities with the intent to hold the person in custody.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official confirmation from competent law enforcement or judicial authorities (e.g., official statements or court/custody records).
- If any of the individuals listed above is arrested (as defined) during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- An arrest will count for "Yes" even if it is brief or followed by release on bail.