Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualAGI is used in longevity research, but doesn't make significant advances 74.7%Líder entre 7 opciones
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46
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 20 horas
Desactualizado16 abr 24, 17:26 UTC2 ene 40, 7:59 UTC
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AGI is currently generally expected to appear some time in 2030s: @/ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708
- I would like to explore whether AGI will have any significant effect on longevity research and if no, then why.
- Here are some definitions of things mentioned in the options:
- AGI — and AI system, capable of autonomously doing any tasks involved in scientific research (since this question is about research)
- Significant advances in longevity — increasing the life-expectancy at birth by at least 2x, to at least 160 years.
- Whether AGI is used in longevity research — yes if some notable papers in the field are fully written by AI or some procedures are fully developed by AI.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de What will be true about AGI and longevity in 2040??
- Manifold Markets cotiza AGI is used in longevity research, but doesn't make significant advances al 75% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve What will be true about AGI and longevity in 2040??
- Está previsto que What will be true about AGI and longevity in 2040? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2040.
- ¿Cómo se liquida What will be true about AGI and longevity in 2040??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: AGI is currently generally expected to appear some time in 2030s: @/ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708