4. Discourse about AGI and superintelligence will become less fashionable and less common.
One-OffIA3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 60%
Pronosticadores
26
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
28 dic 25, 11:25 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
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KalshiReglas
All these predictions are taken from Forbes/Rob Toews' "10 AI Predictions For 2026".
- For the 2025 predictions you can find them here, and their resolution here.
- You can find all the markets under the tag [2026 Forbes AI predictions].
- Note that I will resolve to whatever Forbes/Rob Toews say in their resolution article for 2026's predictions, even if I or others disagree with his decision.
- I might bet in this market, as I have no power over the resolution.
- Coming into 2025, expectations about AI’s trajectory and the timeline to artificial general intelligence were sky-high.
Mercados abiertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-2.0pt59.8%
- 2027-8.0pt30.8%
- 2026+1.0pt9.3%
- Volumen total
- 225,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 157 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,4 M €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.5pt58.1%
- ChatGPT+1.4pt26.7%
- Grok-2.4pt5.7%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+6.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+7.0pt9%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+6.0pt79.1%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.8%
- Gemini2.7%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 348,3 mil €
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- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
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- Anthropic market share this week
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de 4. Discourse about AGI and superintelligence will become less fashionable and less common.?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 60% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve 4. Discourse about AGI and superintelligence will become less fashionable and less common.?
- Está previsto que 4. Discourse about AGI and superintelligence will become less fashionable and less common. se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida 4. Discourse about AGI and superintelligence will become less fashionable and less common.?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: All these predictions are taken from Forbes/Rob Toews' "10 AI Predictions For 2026".