PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosSin cotizaciones en vivo
Datos del 28 sept 2026, 19:41 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
December 31 89%
December 31 89%Calidad del mercado
40 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
454,5 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
68.0% / 72.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 20 minutos
23 sept 26, 23:54 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus.
- Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.6, Claude Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation.
- Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
- Claude Opus 5.5, released on September 22, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, re-release, reasoning or speed mode, or other variant of it will not qualify.
