Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 73.6%
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331
Tipo de pregunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
8 dic 23, 19:32 UTC3 mar 28, 22:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being.
- Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is designed and trained for specific tasks (like language translation, playing a game, or image recognition), AGI can theoretically perform any intellectual task that a human being can.
- It involves the capability to reason, plan, solve problems, think abstractly, comprehend complex ideas, learn quickly, and learn from experience.
- Resolves as YES if such a system is created and publicly announced before January 1st 2028
- MOD EDIT (Nov 2, 2025 - @Stralor)
- This market uses In what specific year will we hit AGI? as its baseline.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will we get AGI before 2028??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 74% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will we get AGI before 2028??
- Está previsto que Will we get AGI before 2028? se resuelva el 3 de marzo de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will we get AGI before 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being.