PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 76%+1.0pt
Calidad del mercado
33 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
264,8 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
12.0% / 36.0%
Spread
24.0 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+11.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
12 nov 25, 22:09 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
- The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/).
- If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Mercados abiertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Volumen total
- 241,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 128 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 349,4 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 76% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026??
- Está previsto que AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.