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If Manifold deems AGI to have been achieved, will Manifold also agree that the singularity has occurred?
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Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
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When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
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How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.