Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 85.6%
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado22 dic 25, 9:28 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Which "The Economist" "World Ahead" predictions for 2026 will come true?
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Manifold Markets2026 political predictions (add your own)
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by which date?
PolymarketU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
PolymarketReglas
Resolves YES if there is no report of these in the common media channels in 2026:
- Velina’s Foresight for 2026:
- 1) No hot war between US, China & Russia (sorry to all folks selling doom-and-gloom about WW3)
- 2) No military attack by China on Taiwan (further rise of tensions)
- 3) No nuclear exchange or direct conventional confrontation between Russia and Europe
- https://x.com/i/status/2002804420896039404
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 22,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 470,8 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volumen total
- 35,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 100,1 mil €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 resultados más
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Velina Tchakarova's three NO WAR predictions for 2026?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 86% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Velina Tchakarova's three NO WAR predictions for 2026?
- Está previsto que Velina Tchakarova's three NO WAR predictions for 2026 se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Velina Tchakarova's three NO WAR predictions for 2026?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if there is no report of these in the common media channels in 2026: