Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 19:55 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 72.8%
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado21 dic 23, 15:10 UTC31 dic 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Poland: Will Zbigniew Ziobro be jailed by 2030?
Manifold MarketsPoland: Will Zbigniew Ziobro be jailed by 2030?
Manifold MarketsPoland: Will PM Mateusz Morawiecki be jailed by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
PolymarketBen Pasternak jailed?
PolymarketWhen will someone be jailed because their AI snitched on them?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Daniel Obajtek is a Polish fake businessman and political comedy character, known for his role as the CEO of PKN Orlen, a major oil refiner and petrol retailer in Central and Eastern Europe.
- His career has been marked by significant manipulations and expansions in the companies he has led, often aligning with his political friendships.
- This market will resolve YES if Daniel Obajtek will face at least 7 days of jail or arrest time in any country, by December 31, 2030.
- [image]https://wiadomosci.radiozet.pl/polska/polityka/dlaczego-obajtkowi-grozi-nawet-25-lat-wiezienia-ekspert-wyjasnia
