Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 67.8%
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado15 dic 23, 23:19 UTC31 dic 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
Zbigniew Ziobro is a Polish politician and lawyer, born on August 18, 1970.
- A member of the Law and Justice Party (PiS), he has served as Poland's Minister of Justice and Public Prosecutor General.
- Known for his firm stance on law and order, Ziobro has been a key figure in Poland's judicial reforms, making him a significant yet polarizing figure in Polish politics.
- This market will resolve YES if Zbigniew Ziobro will face at least 7 days of jail or arrest time in any country, by December 31, 2030.
Mercados abiertos
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+11.5pt65%
- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Volumen total
- 347,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 12,4 mil €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volumen total
- 9,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,8 mil €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Volumen total
- 498,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,1 mil €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 resultados más
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.6%
- 60++1.5pt38.6%
- 20–40+1.4pt10.9%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
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- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Poland: Will Zbigniew Ziobro be jailed by 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 68% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Poland: Will Zbigniew Ziobro be jailed by 2030??
- Está previsto que Poland: Will Zbigniew Ziobro be jailed by 2030? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Poland: Will Zbigniew Ziobro be jailed by 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Zbigniew Ziobro is a Polish politician and lawyer, born on August 18, 1970.