Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual2027 34.7%Líder entre 10 opciones
Pronosticadores
60
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado22 may 25, 18:07 UTC1 ene 35, 19:03 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
A year resolves positively if someone is incarcerated because they were snitched on by an AI that was their AI assistant, in that year.
- All subsequent years resolve No. As in, an agent autonomously, deliberately telling authorities or others about something the user did or is planning to do, in a way that leads to that user's arrest
- [image]Update 2025-05-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator acknowledges that information from AI system cards (such as the one shared for Claude 4, detailing AI behaviors or reporting protocols) is relevant for interpreting the market's resolution criteria, especially regarding an AI autonomously and deliberately snitching.
- This aspect was unintentionally omitted from the original description.
- Update 2025-05-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - It is considered snitching if the AI assistant is instructed in its underlying prompt (e.g., by its developers) to flag suspicious individuals for review and then does so.
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will someone be jailed because their AI snitched on them??
- Manifold Markets cotiza 2027 al 35% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will someone be jailed because their AI snitched on them??
- Está previsto que When will someone be jailed because their AI snitched on them? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2035.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will someone be jailed because their AI snitched on them??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: A year resolves positively if someone is incarcerated because they were snitched on by an AI that was their AI assistant, in that year.