Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 0:04 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualBefore Mar 2027 41.9%Líder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
21
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-10.4 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 43 minutos
27 jul 26, 15:05 UTC28 feb 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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PolymarketReglas
New wave of mobilisation of personnel as rumoured by some telegram channels.
- Must be called "mobilisation" by the Russian government (possibly with extra adjectives") OR use the same legal structure a general mobilization would use as it's main legal background.
- This market resolves purely based on announcements/admissions by the Russian government.
- Elections are scheduled in Russia for September 20th and the rumour us mobilization will be announced after.
- Shorter time horizon (i.e. mobilization shortly after elections):
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/AIBear/russia-announces-mobilization-befor)Update 2026-04-07: the previous update was wrong.