¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Foreign military intervention in Namibia in the next ten years??

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 82.9% a fecha de 28 de octubre de 2026.

Foreign military intervention in Namibia in the next ten years?

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 82.9%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 8 minutos

8 ene 23, 18:43 UTC8 ene 33, 23:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

Resolves to YES if, according to a credible variety of international news media, any foreign military intervenes in Namibia in the next ten years.

"Intervention" could be declaration of war, invasion, bombing, etc. I am asking this question because oil was recently discovered in Namibia; a cynic might feel that the discovery of oil makes military action more likely (whether its stated purpose is related to oil or not).
Resolution of the market does not care what is the purpose of the intervention, only whether an intervention occurs or not.