Conditional on China Not Supplying Arm to Russia in 2023, will China invade Taiwan before the end of 2028?
GeopolíticaOne-OffRussia / UkraineChina2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 79.8%
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado1 mar 23, 2:28 UTC31 dic 28, 15:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
PolymarketReglas
This market resolves, no later than end of 2028, with criterion identical to the first market below, with the exception that, if the second market resolves to something other than No, this market will resolve to N/A immediately.
- In the case that the invasion occurs before end of 2023, this resolves N/A. (https://manifold.markets/embed/mrb/will-china-invade-taiwan-before-the)(https://manifold.markets/embed/footgun/will-china-supply-arms-to-russia-in)