China-Japan military clash or armed incident leading to injury by December 31, 2026
GeopolíticaOne-OffChina3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 92.8%
Pronosticadores
17
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado23 nov 25, 7:58 UTC15 dic 26, 7:54 UTC
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LimitlessReglas
Resolution Criteria
- Resolves YES only if:
- • Chinese and Japanese military or paramilitary forces (PLA, JMSDF/JGSDF/JASDF, China Coast Guard, Japan Coast Guard) engage in direct armed or physical confrontation, and
- • At least one person from one side is physically injured or killed by the actions of the other side.
- Cross-party requirement:
- • Injuries or deaths must be caused by the opposing side.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de China-Japan military clash or armed incident leading to injury by December 31, 2026?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 93% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve China-Japan military clash or armed incident leading to injury by December 31, 2026?
- Está previsto que China-Japan military clash or armed incident leading to injury by December 31, 2026 se resuelva el 15 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida China-Japan military clash or armed incident leading to injury by December 31, 2026?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution Criteria