Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
By end of 2050 36.4%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
18
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado21 ene 24, 3:30 UTC2 ene 00, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
Each option resolves YES if https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory resolves to either YES or NO by that date.
- Otherwise it resolves NO (if it didn't resolve before that date, or if it resolved to any value other than YES or NO).
- (In case the resolution status changes, then this question resolves based on the final resolution date)
Mercados abiertos
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.3pt97%
- Yes+0.3pt3%
- Volumen total
- 15,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 35,6 mil €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,2 mil €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volumen total
- 83,5 mil €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000-1.0pt96%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 864,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volumen total
- 915,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,5 mil €
KALSHIWhen will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Before July 2027+67.0pt97%
- Before 202872%
- Before October 202752%
- Volumen total
- 4,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de By when will the Covid lab leak market resolve??
- Manifold Markets cotiza By end of 2050 al 36% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve By when will the Covid lab leak market resolve??
- Está previsto que By when will the Covid lab leak market resolve? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2100.
- ¿Cómo se liquida By when will the Covid lab leak market resolve??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Each option resolves YES if https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory resolves to either YES or NO by that date.