PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
June 30, 2027 11%-0.5pt
Calidad del mercado
72 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
3,3 mil €
Liquidez
55,9 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
3.4% / 3.5%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
19 sept 26, 0:27 UTC1 jul 27, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will my resolution of the COVID-19 lab leak market be controversial?
Manifold MarketsIs African swine fever in Spain a lab leak?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Covid lab leak market resolve?
Manifold MarketsHealthcare AI adoption in September
KalshiHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketMeasles cases in 2026?
KalshiReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required.
- Investigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercados abiertos
AIKALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 5.6%+8.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 4.5%99%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 267,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 95,6 mil €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.3pt69.2%
- ChatGPT-1.1pt13.5%
- Gemini+1.3pt10.6%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 10,1 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-5.0pt72%
- December 15,+4.5pt65%
- November 30,-7.0pt44%
+7 resultados más
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.65%+4.0pt99%
- Above 2.05%99%
- Above 2.55%99%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 272 mil €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 24.3%+8.0pt99%
- Above 24%+6.0pt99%
- Above 23.6%99%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 211,1 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T-0.4pt25.3%
- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt20%
- $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt16.8%
+7 resultados más
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best AI this week
- Next Claude Opus released on?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Anthropic lab leak by which date??
- Polymarket cotiza June 30, 2027 al 11% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Anthropic lab leak by which date??
- Está previsto que Anthropic lab leak by which date? se resuelva el 1 de julio de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Anthropic lab leak by which date??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.