LimitlessComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosSin precio significativo
Datos del 31 oct 2026, 11:23 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Probabilidad implícita actual
June 30, 2027 7%
June 30, 2027 7%Calidad del mercado
22 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
30 sept 26, 13:25 UTC1 jul 27, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
the named outcome · the named outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required.
Investigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Polymarket — Anthropic lab leak by...? · June 30, 2027 7%
