KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Exactly 4.2% 77%Líder entre 23 opciones
Calidad del mercado
55 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
368,2 €
Liquidez
3,9 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
15 dic 25, 15:00 UTC4 dic 26, 13:29 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Unemployment rate in Sep 2026?
KalshiUnemployment rate in Oct 2026?
KalshiChina unemployment rate in August
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.6% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExSeptember Unemployment Rate
PolymarketReglas
If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.3% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.4% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.5% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.6% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.7% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.8% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+10.0pt64%
- No change-10.0pt35%
- 50+ bps increase+0.4pt1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 96,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,2 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 656,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 85,1 mil €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 386 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 25,6 mil €
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP-2.0pt92%
- Above -5.0% of GDP-10.0pt80%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-20.0pt60%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+1.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-6.0pt30%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 29,4 mil €
KALSHIState of the economy at the end of 2026
- Soft landing-5.7pt50.5%
- Overheating+11.8pt44.8%
- Stagflation-2.6pt2.9%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)
- US government budget balance in 2026
- US real GDP growth in 2034?
- China unemployment rate in August
- GDP growth in 2026
- Recession this year?
- Japan’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Unemployment rate in Nov 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza Exactly 4.2% al 77% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Unemployment rate in Nov 2026??
- Está previsto que Unemployment rate in Nov 2026? se resuelva el 4 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Unemployment rate in Nov 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.3% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Unemployment rate in Nov 2026??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Manifold Markets.