KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Exactly 4.2% 20%Líder entre 23 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
31 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
2,7 mil €
Liquidez mediaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
15 dic 25, 15:00 UTC6 nov 26, 13:29 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Unemployment rate in Nov 2026?
KalshiUnemployment rate in Sep 2026?
KalshiFed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.6% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExSeptember Unemployment Rate
PolymarketReglas
If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.3% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.4% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.5% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.6% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.7% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.8% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+12.0pt64.7%
- No change-12.0pt34.3%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 97,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 4,8 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 702,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 91 mil €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 400 mil €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%-1.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-8.0pt26%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 34,5 mil €
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP92%
- Above -5.0% of GDP79%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-5.0pt62%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 28,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No97%
- Yes-3.0pt3%
- Volumen total
- 2,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 4,9 mil €
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- GDP growth in 2026
- China unemployment rate in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Unemployment rate in Oct 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza Exactly 4.2% al 20% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Unemployment rate in Oct 2026??
- Está previsto que Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? se resuelva el 6 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Unemployment rate in Oct 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.3% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Unemployment rate in Oct 2026??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Manifold Markets.