Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?
2.0 pts (24h)EntertainmentOne-OffCrime & Justice3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 94%-2.0pt
Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$93.4
Low liquidityBid / Ask
2.8% / 8.3%
Spread
5.5 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
-0.3 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jan 14, 26, 4:02 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
PolymarketYoon out of custody before 2027?
PolymarketLuigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
PolymarketWill Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?
KalshiWill Jonathan Ross (shooter of Renee Nicole Good) be in custody by the end of the year?
Manifold MarketsWill a child of Elon Musk be CEO of Tesla, X, xAI, or SpaceX by the end of 2035?
Manifold MarketsRules
On January 12, Elon Musk announced he would be filing for full custody of the child he shares with Ashley St. Clair.
- (see: https://www.eonline.com/news/1427282/elon-musk-filing-for-full-custody-of-son-with-ashley-st-clair)
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded sole legal custody, or primary residential/physical custody of his son Romulus in the form of a final order by any U.S. court by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Temporary custody orders or interim arrangements will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution unless they become final orders by the stated market deadline.
- This market will resolve immediately to "No" if all relevant court proceedings permanently cease, or are dropped by either party.
Open markets
EntertainmentKALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $224.9K
- 24h Vol
- $107.3K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 2599%
- Above 2785%
- Above 3074%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $118.2K
- 24h Vol
- $76.7K
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m-5.0pt74%
- 940 - 950m+4.5pt24%
- 960 - 970m-1.1pt1%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+14.0pt98%
- Above 50+31.0pt95%
- Above 55+39.0pt91%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $319.5K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel-3.0pt25.7%
- Dee Valladares+10.0pt14.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-4.0pt14.7%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- No-8.0pt73.3%
- Yes+8.0pt26.7%
- Total Vol
- $401.9K
- 24h Vol
- $55.7K
- Next James Bond actor?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Gutierrez vs Gallego
- Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Weightman vs Wright
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 4?
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series
- Top US Netflix Show this week?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child??
- Polymarket prices No at 94% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child? resolve?
- Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: On January 12, Elon Musk announced he would be filing for full custody of the child he shares with Ashley St. Clair.