Current implied probability
Alibaba 33%Leader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Alibaba 33%Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$71.8
Liquidity
$4K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+6.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 18, 26, 12:07 AM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?
PolymarketSecond-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
PolymarketBest Chinese AI Company end of November?
PolymarketThird-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?
PolymarketTop Chinese AI Company week of October 5th
KalshiTop Chinese AI company this month
KalshiRules
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun.
- Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.
- Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
- Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
- Qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time.