KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Nov 3, 2026, 7:11 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Xiaomi · —
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Stored price
Xiaomi 40%Leader of 9 outcomes
Xiaomi 40%Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$53.7
Low open interestBid / Ask
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XiaomiSpread
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Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Nov 1, 26, 4:00 AM UTCNov 30, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Xiaomi
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Top Chinese AI Company week of November 2nd
KalshiTop Chinese AI Company week of November 9th
KalshiSecond-Best Chinese AI Company end of January?
PolymarketThird-Best Chinese AI Company end of January?
PolymarketBest Chinese AI Company end of January?
PolymarketBest Chinese AI Company end of November?
PolymarketRules
If Xiaomi is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Nov 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- Qualifying Chinese AI companies are defined as a company whose global or primary operational headquarters is located in mainland China. Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Xiaomi
- If Xiaomi is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Nov 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Moonshot
- If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Nov 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alibaba
- If Alibaba is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Nov 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Baidu
- If Baidu is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Nov 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- DeepSeek
- If DeepSeek is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Nov 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ByteDance
- If ByteDance is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Nov 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- MiniMax
- If MiniMax is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Nov 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Z.ai
- If Z.ai is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Nov 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tencent
- If Tencent is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Nov 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.