PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Up
Resolved: Oct 22, 2026, 11:41 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 1:26 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Up100%
Down0%
UpWon
Before close: 100% ·
DownLost
Before close: 0% ·
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for Russell 2000 (RUT) on Thursday, October 22, 2026 is higher than the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for RUT on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for Russell 2000 (RUT) on Thursday, October 22, 2026 is lower than the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for RUT on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
- If RUT does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.