PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 10:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Up 98%
Up 98%Market quality
12 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$135.2
Liquidity
$0.4
Low liquidityOpen interest
$135.2
Bid / Ask
1.1% / 99.9%
Spread
98.8 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 19 hours ago
StaleOct 26, 26, 12:00 PM UTCOct 27, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Trends
Up98%
Down2%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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ForecastExRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official Nikkei 225 Index closing price for Nikkei 225 (NIK) on Tuesday, October 27, 2026 is higher than the official Nikkei 225 Index closing price for NIK on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the official Nikkei 225 Index closing price for Nikkei 225 (NIK) on Tuesday, October 27, 2026 is lower than the official Nikkei 225 Index closing price for NIK on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
- If NIK does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.