PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 54.0–54.9
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, 4:23 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
54.0–54.9 100%+52.0ptLeader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
23 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.4K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknown7d Change
-40.9 pts
Market data
Updated 56 days ago
StaleJun 9, 26, 10:02 PMJul 6, 26, 6:00 AM
Probability Timeline
54.0–54.9100%
<48.00%
48.0–48.90%
49.0–49.90%
50.0–50.90%
51.0–51.90%
52.0–52.90%
53.0–53.90%
55.0–55.90%
56.0+0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for June 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).
- A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
- This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for June 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
- The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for June 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on July 6, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage.
