PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability49.0–49.9 42%+5.3%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$542
Liquidity
$6.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 43.0%
Spread
4200.0%
Wide spread7d Change
-13.0%
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jun 9, 26, 10:02 PMJul 6, 26, 6:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
49.0–49.942%
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KALSHIActive in these topics
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This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for June 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).
- A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
- This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for June 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
- The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for June 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on July 6, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage.