PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
54.0–54.9 34.6%+9.5ptLeader of 10 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$3.2K
Liquidity
$4.6K
Medium liquiditySpread
35.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
+2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Aug 4, 26, 10:20 PMSep 1, 26, 6:00 AM
Trends
Rules
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).
- A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
- This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
- The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026?
- Polymarket prices 54.0–54.9 at 35% as of August 25, 2026.
- When does ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026 resolve?
- ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026 is scheduled to resolve on September 1, 2026.
- How is ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026 settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).
