KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current implied probability
4.17% or above 99%+5.0ptLeader of 15 outcomes
Market quality
26 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$5.9K
Liquidity
$5.4K
Medium liquidityMarket data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleAug 24, 26, 7:30 PMAug 25, 26, 7:30 PM
Trends
99%
99%
99%
99%
98%
54%
8%
7%
6%
4%
2%
1%
0%
0%
0%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.10% on Aug 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 25, 2026, or one week following Aug 25, 2026.
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.12% on Aug 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.14% on Aug 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.16% on Aug 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.18% on Aug 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Bonds & TreasuriesKALSHI30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026?
- 5.13% or above94%
- 5.11% or above92%
- 5.15% or above-29.0pt66%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $20.1K
- 24h Vol
- $2.9K
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 26, 2026?
- 4.11% or above98%
- 4.15% or above94%
- 4.13% or above93%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.3K
- 24h Vol
- $2.3K
KALSHI30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 28, 2026?
- 5.13% or above98%
- 5.15% or above68%
- 5.17% or above-38.0pt51%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.7K
- 24h Vol
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 26, 2026?
- 4.6% or above92%
- 4.62% or above79%
- 4.64% or above57%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.9K
- 24h Vol
- $1.9K
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026?
- 4.41% or above99%
- 4.43% or above99%
- 4.45% or above99%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $24.1K
- 24h Vol
- $1.9K
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 28, 2026?
- 4.08% or above99%
- 4.06% or above+9.0pt92%
- 4.16% or above+6.0pt82%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.4K
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 26, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 26, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 28, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 26, 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 28, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 28, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026?
- 10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026
- 10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
Related Cryptos
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for 2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 25, 2026??
- Kalshi prices 4.17% or above at 99% as of August 25, 2026.
- When does 2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 25, 2026? resolve?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 25, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on August 25, 2026.
- How is 2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 25, 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.10% on Aug 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.