KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
4.31% or above 89%+23.0ptLeader of 15 outcomes
Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$100
Liquidity
$4.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
20.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Aug 3, 26, 7:30 PMAug 31, 26, 7:30 PM
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.30% on Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 31, 2026, or one week following Aug 31, 2026.
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.32% on Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.36% on Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.38% on Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for 5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026??
- Kalshi prices 4.31% or above at 89% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does 5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026? resolve?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on August 31, 2026.
- How is 5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.30% on Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.