KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAbove 50bps 35%-7.0%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$39.1
Liquidity
$2.1K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
30.0% / 37.0%
Spread
23.3%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jul 8, 26, 12:03 AMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above 50bps35%
Volume trend
$39Jul 818d of dataJul 26
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If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 is above -30bps, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Please note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying.
- Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value
- If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 is above -20bps, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 is above -10bps, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 is above 0bps, then the market resolves to Yes.