PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
27°C 44.2%-1.0ptLeader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$6.2K
Liquidity
$20.8K
Medium liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 2, 26, 12:56 PMSep 4, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
Latin AmericaPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva53.9%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.5pt43.1%
- Renan Santos+0.4pt2%
+16 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $142.7M
- 24h Vol
- $584.5K
KALSHIBrazil Presidential election winner?
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva52.3%
- Flávio Bolsonaro41.1%
- Augusto Cury2.8%
+11 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.8M
- 24h Vol
- $234.9K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro-1.0pt84%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+4.4pt13%
- Augusto Cury-0.3pt2%
+15 more outcomes
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.0pt43.4%
- 60+-7.0pt28.3%
- 20–40+0.1pt13.1%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-1.3pt84.7%
- Delcy Rodríguez+1.0pt12.2%
- María Corina Machado-0.1pt2%
+13 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
- Augusto Cury+4.9pt58%
- Renan Santos-5.5pt22%
- Ronaldo Caiado-6.5pt6%
+16 more outcomes
- US military action against Cuba by which date?
- Cdt Real Oruro vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo
- Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round)
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?
- Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
- What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Mercyhurst vs New Mexico
- Platense vs Riestra
- Mercyhurst vs New Mexico St.: Total Points
- Michoacán Governor Election Winner
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 4??
- Polymarket prices 27°C at 44% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 4? resolve?
- Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 4? is scheduled to resolve on September 4, 2026.
- How is Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 4? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.